2025 Bitcoin Outlook: Insights Backed by Metrics and Market Data

Explore Bitcoin's 2025 potential with a data-driven perspective, analyzing key metrics like the MVRV Z-Score, Pi Cycle Oscillator, and macroeconomic trends to uncover insights into the year ahead.

Jan 4, 2025 - 05:00
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2025 Bitcoin Outlook: Insights Backed by Metrics and Market Data

As we step into 2025, it’s time to take a measured and analytical approach to what the year might hold for Bitcoin. Taking into account on-chain, market cycle, macroeconomic data, and more for confluence, we can go beyond pure speculation to paint a data-driven picture for the coming months.

MVRV Z-Score: Plenty of Upside Potential

The MVRV Z-Score measures the ratio between Bitcoin's realized price (the average acquisition price of all BTC on the network) and its market cap. Standardizing this ratio for volatility gives us the Z-Score, which historically provides a clear picture of market cycles.

Figure 1: MVRV-Z Score shows we’re still a long way from a market cycle peak.

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